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Prediction Market Odds

Plain-English answers to “what are the odds of X?” — each page pulls together every related market across platforms into one aggregated, continuously-updated view, so you see where the money actually sits rather than a single market in isolation.

What are the odds to be the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer?

The Golden Boot goes to the top scorer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This page pulls together the live player markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours to finish as the tournament’s leading goalscorer — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to reach the 2026 World Cup final?

Two teams make it to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. This page aggregates the live “reach the final” markets across platforms, so you can see which nations the money favours to play on the tournament’s last day — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to reach the 2026 World Cup semifinal?

Four teams reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals. This page aggregates the live “reach the semifinal” markets across platforms, so you can see which nations the money favours to make the final four — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to reach the 2026 World Cup quarterfinal?

Eight teams reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals. This page aggregates the live “reach the quarterfinal” markets across platforms, so you can see which nations the money favours to make the last eight — updated continuously.

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What are the odds for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Prediction markets are already pricing the 2028 race. This page pulls together the live markets — party, nominee and candidate questions — so you can see where the money currently sits across platforms, updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 World Series?

One team lifts the 2026 World Series. This page aggregates the live championship markets across platforms, so you can see which teams the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 MLS Cup?

One club lifts the 2026 MLS Cup. This page aggregates the live championship markets across platforms, so you can see which clubs the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Ballon d’Or?

The Ballon d’Or goes to the year’s best footballer. This page aggregates the live 2026 award markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon?

One player wins the 2026 Wimbledon men’s singles. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon?

One player wins the 2026 Wimbledon women’s singles. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship?

One driver takes the 2026 Formula 1 Drivers’ Championship. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which drivers the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Brazil elects its president in 2026. This page aggregates the live real-money candidate markets across platforms, so you can see who the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2027 NBA Finals?

One team lifts the 2027 NBA championship. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which teams the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to lead the MLB in doubles in 2026?

One hitter leads Major League Baseball in doubles across the 2026 regular season. This page aggregates the live leader markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to lead the MLB in ERA in 2026?

One pitcher leads Major League Baseball in ERA across the 2026 regular season. This page aggregates the live leader markets across platforms, so you can see which arms the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2027 French presidential election?

France elects its president in 2027. This page aggregates the live real-money candidate markets across platforms, so you can see who the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2027 Super Bowl?

One team lifts the Lombardi Trophy to end the 2026 NFL season. This page aggregates the live championship markets across platforms, so you can see which team the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

One AFC team wins the conference and reaches the Super Bowl. This page aggregates the live 2027 AFC Championship markets across platforms, so you can see which team the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

One NFC team wins the conference and reaches the Super Bowl. This page aggregates the live 2027 NFC Championship markets across platforms, so you can see which team the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 World Cup Golden Ball?

The Golden Ball goes to the best player of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. This page aggregates the live award markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

One player wins the 2026 US Open women’s singles. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds to win the 2026 Men’s US Open?

One player wins the 2026 US Open men’s singles. This page aggregates the live title markets across platforms, so you can see which players the money favours — updated continuously.

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What are the odds Bitcoin reaches $100,000 by the end of 2026?

Prediction markets price every Bitcoin price target for the end of 2026 as a separate contract. This page pulls them together into one ladder, so you can see what the money actually gives each level — updated continuously.

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When will GPT-6 be released? (prediction market odds)

GPT-5.6 has shipped; the live question is GPT-6. Prediction markets price each possible release deadline as its own contract, so this page reads as a timeline: how likely OpenAI ships GPT-6 by each date, by the end of 2026. (Separately, one Polymarket market gives GPT-6 a coin-flip chance of arriving before Grand Theft Auto VI.) Updated continuously.

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What are the odds Bitcoin crashes below $50,000 by the end of 2026?

Prediction markets price the downside too. Each level Bitcoin could fall to by the end of 2026 trades as its own contract, and the money is currently pricing the downside more heavily than the upside. This page ranks every level — updated continuously.

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Go deeper

See how accurate markets have been on our track record page, browse all live markets, or compare platforms on Polymarket vs Kalshi.