The market makes Baltimore Ravens the favourite at 16%, ahead of Buffalo Bills at 14%. Polymarket prices 16 teams in total, with 9 above 4%. These are live prices and they move as money does.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite to win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Baltimore Ravens, at 16% on Polymarket. That is the market's view right now, not a prediction. It moves whenever someone takes a position.
Who else is in contention?
Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots are the next names on the board. Another 7 teams sit below 4%, so they are counted rather than listed.
Which prediction markets have odds on this?
Polymarket. 9 teams are priced with real money.
What does the percentage actually mean?
It is a price, and the price is the probability. A contract at 16% means traders are collectively paying 16% of a dollar for a payout that comes only if it happens. Nobody at Predacle sets that number. The market does.
How often do these odds update?
Every 30 minutes or so. That is close enough to track the market, but not close enough to trade on blind. Open the source market and check the order book first.
Understanding these odds
Why NFL futures move so hard
A 17-game season means every result carries weight, and a single-elimination playoff means one bad afternoon ends a year. The board reprices violently in-season. A team can double its championship price on a two-game win streak, then give it all back on a quarterback injury.
Conference markets versus the championship
A conference title market prices reaching the final, not winning it. The two are related but not identical, and the gap between a team's conference price and its championship price tells you what the market thinks of its chances in the last game.
Why platforms disagree on the same event
The same question can trade at different prices on Polymarket, Kalshi, Myriad and Limitless. Each venue has its own traders, its own liquidity and its own fees, so prices drift apart. On thin markets a single large order is enough to open a gap. Predacle shows the best real-money price across venues, and a gap between two of them is sometimes a genuine signal and sometimes just one side being thin.
Real money and play money are not the same thing
Polymarket, Kalshi, Myriad, Limitless and Bookmaker are real-money venues. Their prices reflect capital at risk. Manifold runs on play money, which has not been convertible to anything since March 2025, so its prices appear here as forecasting signal only. A Manifold price never sets a headline number and never ranks a field. If someone shows up priced only on Manifold, the page says so.