Resolved Politics Prediction Markets
How politics prediction markets actually resolved — the final outcome of each, when it settled, and the market-implied probability right before resolution. A running archive of politics results across Polymarket and Kalshi.
YESRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Sep 26, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Sep 25, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESAtlanta Dream vs. New York LibertySep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Sep 24, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESTrump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Sep 23, 2026 · 100% beforeYESTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Sep 23, 2026 · 100% beforeYESTrump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?Sep 23, 2026 · 100% beforeNOIcelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Sep 23, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Sep 22, 2026 · 0% beforeYESAtlanta Dream vs. New York LibertySep 22, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 22, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 22, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 22, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 22, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeYESLoL: Galions vs Saigon Warriors (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group DSep 21, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Sep 21, 2026 · 0% beforeYESIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?Sep 21, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Sep 19, 2026 · 100% beforeNORussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Sep 18, 2026 · 0% beforeYESGuangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd HarrisSep 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNORennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel RinconSep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeOTHERGame Spread: Daniel Rincon (-1.5) vs Hamish Stewart (+1.5)Sep 17, 2026YESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeNOGuangzhou: Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd HarrisSep 16, 2026 · 0% beforeYESUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Sep 16, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Sep 15, 2026 · 0% beforeYESGame Spread: Ugo Blanchet (-1.5) vs Billy Harris (+1.5)Sep 15, 2026 · 100% beforeYESRennes: Ugo Blanchet vs Billy HarrisSep 15, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?Sep 12, 2026 · 100% beforeNOJordon Harris: Anytime TouchdownSep 12, 2026NODylan Edwards: Anytime TouchdownSep 12, 2026YESXai'Shaun Edwards: Anytime TouchdownSep 12, 2026YESGame Spread: Harris (-0.5) vs Echargui (+0.5)Sep 11, 2026 · 100% beforeYESCassis: Moez Echargui vs Billy HarrisSep 11, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill James Harden play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Sep 9, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?Sep 8, 2026 · 100% beforeNOUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Sep 8, 2026 · 0% beforeNOGenoa: Marco Cecchinato vs Laslo DjereSep 8, 2026 · 0% beforeYESGame Spread: Djere (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5)Sep 8, 2026 · 100% beforeYESLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill Lacy and Marlon beat the gaming challenge by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Sep 7, 2026 · 100% beforeNOLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 6, 2026 · 0% beforeNOLacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Sep 5, 2026 · 0% beforeYESCam Edwards: Anytime TouchdownSep 5, 2026YESUS Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia PutintsevaSep 4, 2026 · 100% before