Resolved Politics Prediction Markets
How politics prediction markets actually resolved — the final outcome of each, when it settled, and the market-implied probability right before resolution. A running archive of politics results across Polymarket and Kalshi.
YESUS Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Yulia PutintsevaSep 4, 2026 · 100% beforeNOUS Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos TsitsipasSep 3, 2026 · 0% beforeYESGame Spread: Tsitsipas (-4.5) vs Harris (+4.5)Sep 3, 2026 · 30% beforeYESUS Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda BencicSep 2, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNONATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill US withdraw from NATO by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026NOWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOLecornu out as French PM by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNORussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 1% beforeNOUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIran leadership change by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIran full airspace closure by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOTrump out as President by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOPutin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOForeign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 31, 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 97% beforeNOGame Spread: Tirante (-3.5) vs Mannarino (+3.5)Sep 1, 2026NOUS Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian MannarinoSep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Aug 31, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Aug 31, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Aug 31, 2026 · 0% beforeNOUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Aug 31, 2026 · 0% beforeYESUS Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Jack KennedyAug 31, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?Aug 31, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026?Aug 30, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Aug 29, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?Aug 29, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026?Aug 28, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWinston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar SureshAug 26, 2026 · 100% beforeNOUS Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd HarrisAug 26, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?Aug 26, 2026 · 95% beforeYESWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 24, 2026?Aug 25, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Aug 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Aug 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Aug 24, 2026 · 100% beforeNOUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Aug 23, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Aug 23, 2026 · 100% beforeYESNATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Aug 23, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?Aug 22, 2026 · 97% beforeYESLoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAug 21, 2026 · 100% beforeNOCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur FilsAug 21, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub MensikAug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Aug 20, 2026 · 100% beforeNOSpread: New York Liberty (-3.5)Aug 19, 2026 · 0% beforeNOSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)Aug 19, 2026 · 0% beforeNONew York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyAug 19, 2026 · 0% beforeYESCincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin LandaluceAug 18, 2026 · 100% beforeYESYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Aug 18, 2026 · 100% beforeNOCincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin TiranteAug 16, 2026 · 0% beforeNOCincinnati Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila SamsonovaAug 15, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Rees Cowne get second place in the Clacton by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Kai Stephens get second place in the Clacton by-election?Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOSpread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOSpread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Aug 14, 2026 · 0% beforeNOLos Angeles Sparks vs. New York LibertyAug 14, 2026 · 0% before