Resolved Economics Prediction Markets
How economics prediction markets actually resolved — the final outcome of each, when it settled, and the market-implied probability right before resolution. A running archive of economics results across Polymarket and Kalshi.
YESWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in September?Sep 26, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Sep 25, 2026 · 87% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Sep 25, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?Sep 24, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Sep 21, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Sep 19, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Sep 18, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Sep 18, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Sep 18, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?Sep 18, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Sep 18, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Sep 18, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeYESFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Sep 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Sep 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeYESFed rate hike in 2026?Sep 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNOFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeYESFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Sep 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Sep 17, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Sep 16, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Sep 16, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Sep 14, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Sep 12, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September?Sep 11, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 33% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.8% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 97% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.5% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 98% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.9% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 98% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.7% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 98% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.4% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 98% beforeNOWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.2% for the year ending in August 2026?Sep 11, 2026 · 98% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Sep 11, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Sep 10, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Sep 9, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Sep 5, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Sep 3, 2026 · 100% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Sep 2, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 3% beforeNOWill OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeYESSHEIN IPO before 2027?Sep 1, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in August?Sep 1, 2026NOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in August?Sep 1, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.30?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $2.60?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.40?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $2.70?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.20?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.60?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.90?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.09?Aug 31, 2026 · 2% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.04?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.08?Aug 31, 2026 · 24% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.06?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.05?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.80?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.10?Aug 31, 2026 · 1% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.07?Aug 31, 2026 · 98% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $2.90?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.03?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.11?Aug 31, 2026 · 1% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $4.00?Aug 31, 2026 · 99% before