Resolved Economics Prediction Markets
How economics prediction markets actually resolved — the final outcome of each, when it settled, and the market-implied probability right before resolution. A running archive of economics results across Polymarket and Kalshi.
YESWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?Jul 17, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.4% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.7% or more in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.2% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.5% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill annual inflation be 4.6% in June?Jul 15, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 61% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.6% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 66% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 71% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.7% for the year ending in June 2026?Jul 14, 2026 · 61% beforeYESWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Jul 14, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 100% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeNOWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?Jul 1, 2026 · 0% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.81?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.80?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $5.00?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.90?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.60?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.50?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.20?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.70?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.80?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.40?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.30?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.10?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $4.00?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.90?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.89?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.87?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.88?Jun 30, 2026 · 1% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.82?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.85?Jun 30, 2026 · 29% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.83?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeNOWill average gas prices be above $3.86?Jun 30, 2026 · 8% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.84?Jun 30, 2026 · 97% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.65?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.50?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.75?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.40?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.30?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.70?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.60?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.20?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% beforeYESWill average gas prices be above $3.10?Jun 30, 2026 · 99% before