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Polymarket🗳️ PoliticsEnds Oct 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Current probability

61%

Toss-up↑9% last month
YESNO 39%
CreatedToday (38% elapsed)Closes Oct 2026

Volume

$7.5M

Avg Bet

—

Traders

—

Platform

Polymarket

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Profit if correct

$65.29

Total payout

$165.29

Return

65%

Based on current 61% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — 61% chance | Predacle