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Polymarket๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Current probability

85%

Strong YESโ†‘4% last month
YESNO 15%
CreatedToday (16% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

$53,273

Avg Bet

โ€”

Traders

โ€”

Platform

Polymarket

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$17.51

Total payout

$117.51

Return

18%

Based on current 85% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? โ€” 85% chance | Predacle