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Polymarket🗳️ PoliticsEnds Aug 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Current probability

38%

Unlikely
YESNO 62%
CreatedToday (16% elapsed)Closes Aug 2026

Volume

$117,066

Avg Bet

Traders

Platform

Polymarket

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$166.67

Total payout

$266.67

Return

167%

Based on current 38% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — 38% chance | Predacle