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Polymarket🗳️ PoliticsEnds Aug 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Current probability

56%

Toss-up
YESNO 44%
CreatedToday (10% elapsed)Closes Aug 2026

Volume

$233,401

Avg Bet

Traders

Platform

Polymarket

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$80.18

Total payout

$180.18

Return

80%

Based on current 56% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — 56% chance | Predacle