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Polymarket🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jul 2026

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Current probability

19%

Long shot
YESNO 81%
CreatedToday (32% elapsed)Closes Jul 2026

Volume

$364,335

Avg Bet

Traders

Platform

Polymarket

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$440.54

Total payout

$540.54

Return

441%

Based on current 19% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? — 19% chance | Predacle