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Polymarket๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Current probability

14%

Long shotโ†“4% last month
YESNO 86%
CreatedToday (11% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

$364,273

Avg Bet

โ€”

Traders

โ€”

Platform

Polymarket

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$589.66

Total payout

$689.66

Return

590%

Based on current 14% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? โ€” 14% chance | Predacle