Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?

Current probability

Long shot

YESNO 98%

CreatedToday (22% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$105,900

Avg Bet

$1.6k avg

Traders

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$3916.06

Total payout

$4016.06

Return

3916%

Based on current 2% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.