Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2027

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Current probability

15%

Long shot

YESNO 85%

CreatedToday (9% elapsed)Closes Dec 2027

Volume

M$177,593

Avg Bet

$305 avg

Traders

582

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$582.59

Total payout

$682.59

Return

583%

Based on current 15% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.