Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2027

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Current probability

12%

Long shot

YESNO 88%

CreatedToday (17% elapsed)Closes Dec 2027

Volume

M$183,554

Avg Bet

$308 avg

Traders

595

Platform

Manifold

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$720.34

Total payout

$820.34

Return

720%

Based on current 12% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.