Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Current probability

30%

Unlikely

YESNO 70%

CreatedToday (12% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$627,592

Avg Bet

$603 avg

Traders

1,041

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$228.95

Total payout

$328.95

Return

229%

Based on current 30% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.