Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Current probability

33%

Unlikely

YESNO 67%

CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$573,627

Avg Bet

$563 avg

Traders

1,019

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$201.30

Total payout

$301.30

Return

201%

Based on current 33% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.