Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Current probability

28%

Unlikely

YESNO 72%

CreatedToday (8% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$614,290

Avg Bet

$591 avg

Traders

1,039

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$259.20

Total payout

$359.20

Return

259%

Based on current 28% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.