Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2028

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Current probability

21%

Unlikely
YESNO 79%
CreatedToday (6% elapsed)Closes Dec 2028

Volume

M$42,619

Avg Bet

$410 avg

Traders

104

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$376.42

Total payout

$476.42

Return

376%

Based on current 21% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? — 21% chance | Predacle