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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2028

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Current probability

17%

Long shot
YESNO 83%
CreatedToday (11% elapsed)Closes Dec 2028

Volume

M$45,838

Avg Bet

$421 avg

Traders

109

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$474.71

Total payout

$574.71

Return

475%

Based on current 17% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? — 17% chance | Predacle