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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2028

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?

Current probability

15%

Long shot
YESNO 85%
CreatedToday (17% elapsed)Closes Dec 2028

Volume

M$51,230

Avg Bet

$462 avg

Traders

111

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$566.67

Total payout

$666.67

Return

567%

Based on current 15% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028? — 15% chance | Predacle