Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Current probability

12%

Long shot
YESNO 88%
CreatedToday (63% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$501,430

Avg Bet

$881 avg

Traders

569

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$769.57

Total payout

$869.57

Return

770%

Based on current 12% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms? — 12% chance | Predacle