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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Current probability

14%

Long shot
YESNO 86%
CreatedToday (35% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$428,024

Avg Bet

$888 avg

Traders

482

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$612.76

Total payout

$712.76

Return

613%

Based on current 14% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms? — 14% chance | Predacle