Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Current probability

Long shot

YESNO 96%

CreatedToday (47% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$3.0M

Avg Bet

$1.6k avg

Traders

1,958

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history

Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Bet Amount (USD)

Bet on

Profit if correct

$2137.14

Total payout

$2237.14

Return

2137%

Based on current 4% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.