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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Current probability

7%

Long shot
YESNO 93%
CreatedToday (26% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$2.9M

Avg Bet

$1.5k avg

Traders

1,936

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1242.28

Total payout

$1342.28

Return

1242%

Based on current 7% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026? — 7% chance | Predacle