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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Current probability

83%

Strong YES
YESNO 17%
CreatedToday (33% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$67,559

Avg Bet

$734 avg

Traders

92

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$19.79

Total payout

$119.79

Return

20%

Based on current 83% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections? — 83% chance | Predacle