Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Current probability

7%

Long shot
YESNO 93%
CreatedToday (63% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$343,488

Avg Bet

$568 avg

Traders

605

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1235.11

Total payout

$1335.11

Return

1235%

Based on current 7% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms? — 7% chance | Predacle