Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ Politics⏰ 6d left

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Current probability

5%

Long shot
YESNO 95%
CreatedToday (96% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$352,215

Avg Bet

$575 avg

Traders

613

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1896.01

Total payout

$1996.01

Return

1896%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms? — 5% chance | Predacle