Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2027

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Current probability

23%

Unlikely

YESNO 77%

CreatedToday (26% elapsed)Closes Jan 2027

Volume

M$80,949

Avg Bet

$360 avg

Traders

225

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$338.98

Total payout

$438.98

Return

339%

Based on current 23% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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