Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2027

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Current probability

11%

Long shot

YESNO 89%

CreatedToday (71% elapsed)Closes Jan 2027

Volume

M$105,450

Avg Bet

$414 avg

Traders

255

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Profit if correct

$809.92

Total payout

$909.92

Return

810%

Based on current 11% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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