Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2027

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Current probability

10%

Long shot

YESNO 90%

CreatedToday (46% elapsed)Closes Jan 2027

Volume

M$103,085

Avg Bet

$406 avg

Traders

254

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Profit if correct

$864.32

Total payout

$964.32

Return

864%

Based on current 10% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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