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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2030

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Current probability

53%

Toss-up
YESNO 47%
CreatedToday (9% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$746,565

Avg Bet

$750 avg

Traders

995

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$88.68

Total payout

$188.68

Return

89%

Based on current 53% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029? — 53% chance | Predacle