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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2030

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Current probability

54%

Toss-up
YESNO 46%
CreatedToday (5% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$744,346

Avg Bet

$753 avg

Traders

989

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$85.94

Total payout

$185.94

Return

86%

Based on current 54% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029? — 54% chance | Predacle