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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2029

Will Trump finish his second term?

Current probability

85%

Strong YES
YESNO 15%
CreatedToday (16% elapsed)Closes Jan 2029

Volume

M$1.9M

Avg Bet

$1.8k avg

Traders

1,057

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$17.50

Total payout

$117.50

Return

17%

Based on current 85% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Trump finish his second term? — 85% chance | Predacle