Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Aug 2029

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Current probability

32%

Unlikely
YESNO 68%
CreatedToday (8% elapsed)Closes Aug 2029

Volume

M$98,754

Avg Bet

$676 avg

Traders

146

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$212.50

Total payout

$312.50

Return

212%

Based on current 32% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

Will Reform win the next UK election? — 32% chance | Predacle