Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Aug 2029

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Current probability

31%

Unlikely
YESNO 69%
CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Aug 2029

Volume

M$98,054

Avg Bet

$681 avg

Traders

144

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$222.58

Total payout

$322.58

Return

223%

Based on current 31% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

Will Reform win the next UK election? — 31% chance | Predacle