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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Jan 2030

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Current probability

9%

Long shot
YESNO 91%
CreatedToday (8% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$1.9M

Avg Bet

$2.1k avg

Traders

887

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1014.83

Total payout

$1114.83

Return

1015%

Based on current 9% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030? โ€” 9% chance | Predacle