Manifold🌐 OtherEnds Jan 2030

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Current probability

8%

Long shot

YESNO 92%

CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$1.9M

Avg Bet

$2.1k avg

Traders

882

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Profit if correct

$1233.33

Total payout

$1333.33

Return

1233%

Based on current 8% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030? — 8% chance | Predacle