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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Jan 2030

Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?

Current probability

12%

Long shot
YESNO 88%
CreatedToday (12% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$1.9M

Avg Bet

$2.1k avg

Traders

889

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$750.34

Total payout

$850.34

Return

750%

Based on current 12% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030? โ€” 12% chance | Predacle