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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Feb 2029

Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Current probability

60%

Toss-up
YESNO 40%
CreatedToday (5% elapsed)Closes Feb 2029

Volume

M$8,807

Avg Bet

$160 avg

Traders

55

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$65.59

Total payout

$165.59

Return

66%

Based on current 60% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? — 60% chance | Predacle