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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Aug 2026

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Current probability

3%

Long shot
YESNO 97%
CreatedToday (56% elapsed)Closes Aug 2026

Volume

M$1.6M

Avg Bet

$3.3k avg

Traders

504

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$3687.88

Total payout

$3787.88

Return

3688%

Based on current 3% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity] — 3% chance | Predacle