Manifold🏆 SportsEnds Jul 2026

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

Current probability

5%

Long shot

YESNO 95%

CreatedToday (86% elapsed)Closes Jul 2026

Volume

M$81,252

Avg Bet

$1.0k avg

Traders

79

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Profit if correct

$1830.50

Total payout

$1930.50

Return

1831%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child? — 5% chance | Predacle