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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2028

Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

Current probability

98%

Strong YES
YESNO 2%
CreatedToday (10% elapsed)Closes Jan 2028

Volume

M$376,078

Avg Bet

$1.2k avg

Traders

303

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$2.11

Total payout

$102.11

Return

2%

Based on current 98% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028? — 98% chance | Predacle