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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2028

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Current probability

17%

Long shot
YESNO 83%
CreatedToday (15% elapsed)Closes Nov 2028

Volume

M$205,405

Avg Bet

$512 avg

Traders

401

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$488.24

Total payout

$588.24

Return

488%

Based on current 17% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? — 17% chance | Predacle