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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2028

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Current probability

22%

Unlikely
YESNO 78%
CreatedToday (3% elapsed)Closes Nov 2028

Volume

M$186,921

Avg Bet

$502 avg

Traders

372

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$352.69

Total payout

$452.69

Return

353%

Based on current 22% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? — 22% chance | Predacle