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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2028

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Current probability

18%

Long shot
YESNO 82%
CreatedToday (9% elapsed)Closes Nov 2028

Volume

M$204,855

Avg Bet

$511 avg

Traders

401

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$468.18

Total payout

$568.18

Return

468%

Based on current 18% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032? — 18% chance | Predacle