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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Current probability

5%

Long shot
YESNO 95%
CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$83,048

Avg Bet

$433 avg

Traders

192

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1849.32

Total payout

$1949.32

Return

1849%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030? — 5% chance | Predacle