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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Dec 2027

Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)

Current probability

5%

Long shot
YESNO 95%
CreatedToday (1% elapsed)Closes Dec 2027

Volume

M$211,955

Avg Bet

$2.4k avg

Traders

87

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
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๐Ÿงฎ Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$2112.39

Total payout

$2212.39

Return

2112%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy) โ€” 5% chance | Predacle