Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will Russia nuke Ukraine?

Current probability

Long shot

YESNO 93%

CreatedToday (3% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$53,854

Avg Bet

$190 avg

Traders

284

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$1433.74

Total payout

$1533.74

Return

1434%

Based on current 7% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.