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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?

Current probability

50%

Toss-up
YESNO 50%
CreatedToday (63% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$200,137

Avg Bet

$676 avg

Traders

296

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$98.45

Total payout

$198.45

Return

98%

Based on current 50% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election? — 50% chance | Predacle