Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Current probability

10%

Long shot

YESNO 90%

CreatedToday (47% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$89,750

Avg Bet

$395 avg

Traders

227

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$951.52

Total payout

$1051.52

Return

952%

Based on current 10% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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