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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2028

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Current probability

19%

Long shot
YESNO 81%
CreatedToday (2% elapsed)Closes Jan 2028

Volume

M$110,747

Avg Bet

$308 avg

Traders

359

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$432.48

Total payout

$532.48

Return

432%

Based on current 19% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza? — 19% chance | Predacle