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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2028

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Current probability

21%

Unlikely
YESNO 79%
CreatedToday (11% elapsed)Closes Jan 2028

Volume

M$112,011

Avg Bet

$308 avg

Traders

364

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$378.24

Total payout

$478.24

Return

378%

Based on current 21% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza? — 21% chance | Predacle