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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Feb 2027

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Current probability

12%

Long shot
YESNO 88%
CreatedToday (22% elapsed)Closes Feb 2027

Volume

M$107,372

Avg Bet

$490 avg

Traders

219

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$710.37

Total payout

$810.37

Return

710%

Based on current 12% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027? — 12% chance | Predacle