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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2100

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Current probability

65%

Toss-up
YESNO 35%
CreatedToday (1% elapsed)Closes Jan 2100

Volume

M$100,583

Avg Bet

$339 avg

Traders

297

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$54.63

Total payout

$154.63

Return

55%

Based on current 65% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed? — 65% chance | Predacle