Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2100

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Current probability

67%

Likely YES

YESNO 33%

CreatedToday (0% elapsed)Closes Jan 2100

Volume

M$100,370

Avg Bet

$338 avg

Traders

297

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$49.88

Total payout

$149.88

Return

50%

Based on current 67% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.