Skip to main content
Manifold๐Ÿ“ˆ EconomicsEnds Dec 2026

S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?

Current probability

2%

Long shot
YESNO 98%
CreatedToday (20% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$298,913

Avg Bet

$3.9k avg

Traders

76

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loadingโ€ฆ

๐Ÿงฎ Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$4850.50

Total payout

$4950.50

Return

4850%

Based on current 2% probability. Actual prices may vary.

๐Ÿค– AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

S&P 500 up 100% in 2026? โ€” 2% chance | Predacle