Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Jan 2030

Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?

Current probability

Long shot

YESNO 95%

CreatedToday (3% elapsed)Closes Jan 2030

Volume

M$56,947

Avg Bet

$587 avg

Traders

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history

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Bet Amount (USD)

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Profit if correct

$1900.00

Total payout

$2000.00

Return

1900%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.