Skip to main content
Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds May 2027

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Current probability

38%

Unlikely
YESNO 62%
CreatedToday (16% elapsed)Closes May 2027

Volume

M$130,503

Avg Bet

$653 avg

Traders

200

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$163.16

Total payout

$263.16

Return

163%

Based on current 38% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war — 38% chance | Predacle