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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Current probability

16%

Long shot
YESNO 84%
CreatedToday (33% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$57,368

Avg Bet

$797 avg

Traders

72

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$534.12

Total payout

$634.12

Return

534%

Based on current 16% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections? — 16% chance | Predacle