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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2029

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Current probability

53%

Toss-up
YESNO 47%
CreatedToday (16% elapsed)Closes Jan 2029

Volume

M$2.1M

Avg Bet

$923 avg

Traders

2,223

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$88.68

Total payout

$188.68

Return

89%

Based on current 53% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? — 53% chance | Predacle