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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2029

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Current probability

45%

Unlikely
YESNO 55%
CreatedToday (6% elapsed)Closes Jan 2029

Volume

M$2.0M

Avg Bet

$909 avg

Traders

2,181

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$123.66

Total payout

$223.66

Return

124%

Based on current 45% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? — 45% chance | Predacle