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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2029

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Current probability

48%

Toss-up
YESNO 52%
CreatedToday (11% elapsed)Closes Jan 2029

Volume

M$2.0M

Avg Bet

$915 avg

Traders

2,214

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$108.33

Total payout

$208.33

Return

108%

Based on current 48% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? — 48% chance | Predacle