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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Jan 2027

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Current probability

22%

Unlikely
YESNO 78%
CreatedToday (36% elapsed)Closes Jan 2027

Volume

M$106,291

Avg Bet

$307 avg

Traders

346

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$362.53

Total payout

$462.53

Return

363%

Based on current 22% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027] โ€” 22% chance | Predacle