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Manifold๐ŸŒ OtherEnds Jan 2027

Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]

Current probability

27%

Unlikely
YESNO 73%
CreatedToday (65% elapsed)Closes Jan 2027

Volume

M$106,670

Avg Bet

$308 avg

Traders

346

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$266.84

Total payout

$366.84

Return

267%

Based on current 27% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027] โ€” 27% chance | Predacle