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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2035

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Current probability

57%

Toss-up
YESNO 43%
CreatedToday (1% elapsed)Closes Jan 2035

Volume

M$50,875

Avg Bet

$230 avg

Traders

221

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$76.49

Total payout

$176.49

Return

76%

Based on current 57% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability? — 57% chance | Predacle