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Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2035

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Current probability

55%

Toss-up
YESNO 45%
CreatedToday (3% elapsed)Closes Jan 2035

Volume

M$50,925

Avg Bet

$230 avg

Traders

221

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$82.48

Total payout

$182.48

Return

82%

Based on current 55% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability? — 55% chance | Predacle