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Manifold💻 TechEnds Dec 2026

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Current probability

5%

Long shot
YESNO 95%
CreatedToday (71% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$1.0M

Avg Bet

$1.9k avg

Traders

562

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1908.03

Total payout

$2008.03

Return

1908%

Based on current 5% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026? — 5% chance | Predacle