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Manifold💻 TechEnds Feb 2027

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Current probability

8%

Long shot
YESNO 92%
CreatedToday (61% elapsed)Closes Feb 2027

Volume

M$529,539

Avg Bet

$632 avg

Traders

838

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$1210.62

Total payout

$1310.62

Return

1211%

Based on current 8% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006? — 8% chance | Predacle