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Manifold💻 TechEnds Feb 2027

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Current probability

10%

Long shot
YESNO 90%
CreatedToday (20% elapsed)Closes Feb 2027

Volume

M$518,670

Avg Bet

$622 avg

Traders

834

Platform

Manifold

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Profit if correct

$929.87

Total payout

$1029.87

Return

930%

Based on current 10% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006? — 10% chance | Predacle