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Manifold๐Ÿ“ˆ EconomicsEnds Dec 2026

US recession in 2026?

Current probability

11%

Long shot
YESNO 89%
CreatedToday (26% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$103,511

Avg Bet

$772 avg

Traders

134

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$797.67

Total payout

$897.67

Return

798%

Based on current 11% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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US recession in 2026? โ€” 11% chance | Predacle