Skip to main content
Manifold💻 TechEnds Jan 2028

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors?

Current probability

34%

Unlikely
YESNO 66%
CreatedToday (26% elapsed)Closes Jan 2028

Volume

M$151,007

Avg Bet

$378 avg

Traders

399

Platform

Manifold

Trade this market on Manifold

Opens https://manifold.markets in a new tab

Probability history
Loading…

🧮 Bet Calculator

Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$197.35

Total payout

$297.35

Return

197%

Based on current 34% probability. Actual prices may vary.

🤖 AI Market Analysis

Powered by Gemini AI

Predacle aggregates public data from prediction market platforms. This is not financial advice.

In 2028, will Gary Marcus still be able to get LLMs to make egregious errors? — 34% chance | Predacle