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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Current probability

55%

Toss-up
YESNO 45%
CreatedToday (30% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$85,220

Avg Bet

$328 avg

Traders

260

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$80.90

Total payout

$180.90

Return

81%

Based on current 55% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? — 55% chance | Predacle