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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Dec 2026

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?

Current probability

51%

Toss-up
YESNO 49%
CreatedToday (54% elapsed)Closes Dec 2026

Volume

M$146,859

Avg Bet

$356 avg

Traders

413

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$96.46

Total payout

$196.46

Return

96%

Based on current 51% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? — 51% chance | Predacle