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Manifold🗳️ PoliticsEnds Nov 2026

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Current probability

20%

Unlikely
YESNO 80%
CreatedToday (63% elapsed)Closes Nov 2026

Volume

M$118,690

Avg Bet

$560 avg

Traders

212

Platform

Manifold

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Probability history
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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$390.44

Total payout

$490.44

Return

390%

Based on current 20% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms? — 20% chance | Predacle