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Manifold💻 TechEnds Dec 2029

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Current probability

6%

Long shot
YESNO 94%
CreatedToday (4% elapsed)Closes Dec 2029

Volume

M$234,855

Avg Bet

$1.9k avg

Traders

125

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1566.67

Total payout

$1666.67

Return

1567%

Based on current 6% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030? — 6% chance | Predacle