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Manifold💻 TechEnds Dec 2029

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Current probability

7%

Long shot
YESNO 93%
CreatedToday (8% elapsed)Closes Dec 2029

Volume

M$235,217

Avg Bet

$1.9k avg

Traders

127

Platform

Manifold

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Estimate your potential profit

Profit if correct

$1438.46

Total payout

$1538.46

Return

1438%

Based on current 7% probability. Actual prices may vary.

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Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030? — 7% chance | Predacle